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What Are AFG Users Saying?

"AFG provides the most comprehensive, intrinsic value tool for both top down stock screening and detailed stock specific modelling. It helps generate ideas overlooked by the market and traditional research firms, by highlighting the mismatch in current market assumptions and a firm’s ongoing ability to create value. AFG is an integral part of our nvestment process and allows us to identify and analyse stocks and industries quickly and efficiently.”

James Kinghorn
Investment Manager
The Scottish Investment Trust PLC

The Applied Finance Group - Institutional Global Equity Valuation Tools & Research

Economic Margin: From Accounting to Economics to Valuation


The Applied Finance Group (AFG) helps investment advisors, institutional investment, consulting,corporate firms globally in accurately measuring corporate performance and identifying mispriced equities. AFG developed its proprietary framework, Economic Margin, to correct distortions created by traditional accounting-based analysis. 

The Economic Margin Framework is more than just a performance metric, as it encompasses a valuation system that explicitly addresses the four main value drivers of enterprise value: profitability, competition, growth, and cost of capital. Unlike traditional valuation approaches that utilize highly sensitive perpetuity assumptions, AFG’s approach incorporates company specific competitive advantage periods which identify companies that may lose excess returns over time faster than their competitors.  

Helping Investment Managers Make Better Investment DecisionsThrough Unique Corporate and Valuation Insights

AFG provides its clients a clear and robust set of applications to easily compare valuations and corporate performance over time, firms, industries and countries. By understanding differences between a stock’s intrinsic value and market price, management effectiveness, and earnings quality, the firm’s recommendations outperform the market regardless of a company’s sector, size, or growth/value orientation. AFG’s research covers over 25,000 companies around the globe.  To learn more about our global research, click here.

AFG's Client Benefits Include:

  • Identifying Under/Over Valued Companies 
  • Ability to evaluate a company's ability to create shareholder value
  • Understanding market expectations embedded in stock prices
  • Tools and Research to help portfolio managers/analyst focus on investment decision-making.

Why Traditional Accounting-Based Metrics Fall Short 

Earnings are a poor proxy for economic profitability because they do not accurately reflect the true cash flow of the firm.

  • On average, corporate earnings represent only 45 to 50 percent of a company’s cash flow.
  • Earnings do not reflect risk.

Accounting ratios mix/confuse many different value drivers.

  • Return on Assets/Return on Equity fail to reflect wealth creation or destruction.
  • Different Asset Life, Asset Mix, Asset Age, Capital Structure distort ratios across firms. 

Accounting rules distort many aspects of economic reality. 

  • Research & Development costs, which are long term investments, are immediately expensed under GAAP accounting.
  • Operating Leases, obligations which must be paid similar to debt never appear on company balance sheets.
     

Key questions when evaluating any investment:

  • How much capital is required? How much capital does the company use in its operations? Is the amount growing or declining through time?
  • What is the cash flow? How much cash does the company generate per unit of invested capital? Is the company’s cash yield increasing or decreasing?
  • What are the opportunity costs of capital? In the current marketplace, what should the average investor expect as a return for an investment given its risk? 
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Economic Margin Framework

The Economic Margin framework is more than just a performance metric, as it encompasses a valuation system that explicitly addresses the four main value drivers of enterprise value: profitability, competition, growth, and cost of capital. Unlike traditional valuation approaches that utilize highly sensitive
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